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What to Look for - Kickoff Weekend
Sep 5, 2019, 10:04 AM
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SUPER STARTERS: History indicates that the best way for a team to start its drive toward a Super Bowl championship is to win in Week 1.
The 53 Super Bowl winners have a 43-9-1 record in the Kickoff Weekend games of their title seasons. The Super Bowl LIII champion NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS, who host Pittsburgh in their season-opener on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC), have won nine of their past 10 home openers played on Kickoff Weekend, the most in the NFL over that span.
Since 1978 when the NFL went to the 16-game schedule, and excluding the abbreviated season of 1982, teams that are victorious in their season-openers are more than twice as likely to reach the playoffs than losers of an opening game:
Of the 602 teams that won openers…311 went to the playoffs (189 won division titles).
Of the 601 teams that lost openers…147 went to the playoffs (85 won division titles).
Note: There are a different number of winning and losing teams in season-opening games due to the fact the NFL had 31 teams in each season from 1999-2001, which creates an odd number for the total number of results.
In 2018, three of the four participants in the conference championships – Kansas City, the Los Angeles Rams and New England – were victorious on Kickoff Weekend, including both Super Bowl teams.
-- NFL --
STARTING STREAKS: Some clubs have excelled in openers. Below is a sampling of notable active NFL Kickoff milestones and streaks:
The CHICAGO BEARS host the GREEN BAY PACKERS on Thursday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC) to kick off the NFL’s 100th season. Green Bay’s 56 Kickoff Weekend wins are the most all-time and Chicago’s 54 wins rank second. The Packers have won their past four Kickoff Weekend games, the longest active streak in the NFC.
The DENVER BRONCOS, who begin the season by visiting the OAKLAND RAIDERS on Monday Night Football (10:20 PM ET, ESPN), have posted a .672 winning percentage (39-19-1) on Kickoff Weekend, the top mark in the league. Denver has won its past seven Kickoff Weekend games, the longest active streak in the NFL.
The defending AFC West champion KANSAS CITY CHIEFS, who visit the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS in Week 1 (1:00 PM ET, CBS), have won their last four Kickoff Weekend games, tied for the league’s second-longest active streak.
The defending NFC East champion DALLAS COWBOYS host the NEW YORK GIANTS in a division showdown (4:25 PM ET, FOX). Dallas and New York face each other on Kickoff Weekend for the fourth time in the last five years. With a winning percentage of .655 (38-20-1), the Cowboys own the best Kickoff Weekend winning percentage in the NFC.
The SEATTLE SEAHAWKS, who returned to the playoffs in 2018, host the CINCINNATI BENGALS (4:05 ET, CBS). Seattle has won 10 consecutive home openers, the longest active streak in the league.
The WASHINGTON REDSKINS face the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES on the road to start the season (1:00 ET, FOX). Washington has won its past three road openers, the longest active streak in the league.
*From 1920-71, tie games were not included in winning percentage
-- NFL --
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START ME UP: Some players have excelled in openers. Below is a sampling of notable individual performances on NFL Kickoff Weekend:
New England quarterback TOM BRADY has 34 touchdown passes in 16 career Week 1 games and needs one touchdown pass against Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC) to surpass PEYTON MANNING (34) for the second-most touchdown passes in season-opening games in NFL history. New Orleans quarterback DREW BREES leads all players with 37 touchdown passes in 17 career Kickoff Weekend games, as New Orleans hosts Houston on Monday Night Football (7:10 PM ET, ESPN).
Brees, who led all players with 439 passing yards on Kickoff Weekend in 2018, has three career 400-yard passing games in season-opening games, the most by any player in NFL history. Los Angeles Chargers quarterback PHILIP RIVERS, who passed for 424 yards in Week 1 last season, and Manning are the only other players with multiple 400-yard passing games on Kickoff Weekend.
Washington running back ADRIAN PETERSON has 999 rushing yards in 12 career season-opening games and needs 1 rushing yard on Sunday against Philadelphia (1:00 PM ET, FOX) to become the fifth player with at least 1,000 rushing yards in season-opening games, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers EMMITT SMITH (1,247), WALTER PAYTON (1,067) and JIM BROWN (1,043),as well as EDGERRIN JAMES (1,062).
Peterson also enters the season with nine career rushing touchdowns on Kickoff Weekend and needs one more to join Pro Football Hall of Famer MARCUS ALLEN (12), CHUCK MUNCIE (11) and PRIEST HOLMES (10) as the only players in NFL history with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in season-opening games.
Philadelphia wide receiver DESEAN JACKSON, who had 147 receiving yards on Kickoff Weekend in 2018 with Tampa Bay, has five career games with at least 100 yards receiving in Week 1, tied for the second-most all-time. With at least 100 receiving yards against Washington on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, FOX), Jackson would tie Pro Football Hall of Famer MICHAEL IRVIN (six) for the most 100-yard receiving games on Kickoff Weekend in NFL history.
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